The bar
Task difficulty
We want growth problems with room left in them. An agent should work for a long
time, make genuine progress, and still have distance ahead of it when the budget ends. A run gives it
up to twelve hours, and a frontier model gets a lot done in that time.
Distance to the best method
- The agent works the whole budget and still has not caught the strongest known solution.
- The usual case, and the tier we most want.
Distance to the ceiling
- The agent passes the best known solution and is still well short of what the problem allows.
- Also a good task — often a more informative one.
The difficulty has to come from the problem itself. RSI-Exam is trying to measure research
ability — forming a hypothesis, testing it, reading the result, and deciding what to try next.
Textbook problems, and problems with a known recipe, no longer pose any difficulty to a frontier
agent.
Signs a task may saturatecheck yours against these
- The published SOTA already scores in the high eighties or nineties. A dataset that has
been competed on for years is usually a poor starting point — the agent hits the ceiling almost
immediately.
- A standard library call already reaches most of the metric.
- One well-known trick is the whole task.
- The search space is small enough that hyperparameter sweeps exhaust it.